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Australia · Australia Cup

21 Jul 2026 09:30 UTC

PRESTON LIONS vs NEWCASTLE JETS

Final 3:2

Preston Lions won Last goal: Preston Lions

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Will Dobson — Newcastle Jets
  2. ⚽ Nikos Vergos — Newcastle Jets

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nahuel Bonada — Preston Lions
  2. ⚽ Nahuel Bonada — Preston Lions
  3. ⚽ Mihail Lazarovski — Preston Lions

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Newcastle Jets
90-minute result: Preston Lions
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 35 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 37 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
30 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
20 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
29 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
18 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
8 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
32 predictions

Match overview