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China · Cup · China Cup

21 Jul 2026 11:35 UTC

SHANGHAI SHENHUA vs QINGDAO HAINIU

Final 4:1

Shanghai Shenhua won Last goal: Shanghai Shenhua

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yaw Yeboah — Qingdao Hainiu
  2. ⚽ Luis Asue — Shanghai Shenhua
  3. ⚽ Luis Asue — Shanghai Shenhua
  4. ⚽ Rafael Ratão — Shanghai Shenhua
  5. ⚽ Luis Asue — Shanghai Shenhua

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Shanghai Shenhua
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 66 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 95 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
25 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
69 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
46 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
65 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
81 predictions

Match overview