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Sweden · Allsvenskan

19 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC

ELFSBORG vs SIRIUS

Final 1:3

Sirius won Last goal: Sirius

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Soumah — Sirius
  2. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius
  3. ⚽ Oscar Krusnell (own goal) — Elfsborg
  4. ⚽ Robbie Ure — Sirius

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Sirius
90-minute result: Sirius
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 324 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
233 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
193 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
259 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
229 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
280 predictions

Match overview