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Romania · Superliga

18 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA vs UTA ARAD

Final 4:0

Universitatea Craiova won Last goal: Universitatea Craiova

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Teles — Universitatea Craiova
  2. ⚽ Stefan Baiaram — Universitatea Craiova
  3. ⚽ Simon Elisor — Universitatea Craiova
  4. ⚽ Din Alomerovic (own goal) — Universitatea Craiova

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Universitatea Craiova
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 101 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 370 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
166 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
203 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
292 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
339 predictions

Match overview