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Europe · Europa League Qualification

16 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

ZILINA vs HAJDUK SPLIT

Final 2:1

Zilina won Last goal: Zilina

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alec Van Hoorenbeeck — Hajduk Split

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marko Roginic — Zilina
  2. ⚽ Dario Melnjak (own goal) — Zilina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
49%
1X2
Hajduk Split
90-minute result: Zilina
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 88 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 88 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
62 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
10 predictions

Match overview