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Scotland · League Cup · League Cup Grp. B

14 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

MONTROSE vs DUNDEE UNITED

Final 1:0

Montrose won Last goal: Montrose

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Graham Webster — Montrose

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Montrose
90-minute result: Montrose
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 111 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 111 completed matches.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 63% (Good)
92 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
43 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
55 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview