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China · China League

12 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

SHENZHEN JUNIORS vs DINGNAN UNITED

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Shenzhen Juniors

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Erikys — Dingnan United
  2. ⚽ Zhang Zimin — Dingnan United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rade Dugalic — Shenzhen Juniors
  2. ⚽ Rade Dugalic — Shenzhen Juniors
  3. ⚽ Erikys — Dingnan United
  4. ⚽ Arnold Garita — Shenzhen Juniors

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Dingnan United
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 323 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
173 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
302 predictions

Match overview