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International · EURO U-19 · EURO U19 Final Stage

11 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

SPAIN U19 vs GERMANY U19

Final 2:0

Spain U19 won Last goal: Germany U19

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hugo — Spain U19

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mario Rivas — Spain U19

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Spain U19
90-minute result: Spain U19
No surprise
35%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 30 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 30 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 53% (Average)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 15 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 28% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
22 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
16 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview