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Iran · Azadegan League

11 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

HAVADAR SC vs NAFT GACHSARAN

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Naft Gachsaran

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mehrdad Bayrami — Havadar SC
  2. ⚽ Saeid Gholamalibeigi — Havadar SC
  3. ⚽ Reza Zolfipour — Naft Gachsaran

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Soheil Delfiefard — Naft Gachsaran

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
40%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 152 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 39% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 333 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
152 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 79% (Strong)
290 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
317 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
327 predictions

Match overview