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China · Super League

11 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

CHENGDU RONGCHENG FC vs CHONGQING TONGLIANG LONG

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Chongqing Tongliang Long

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Felipe — Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Landry Dimata — Chongqing Tongliang Long

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Chongqing Tongliang Long
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 281 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 339 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
257 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
172 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 4.5 22% (Weak)
50 predictions

Match overview