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Ecuador · Serie A

11 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

MANTA vs ORENSE

Final 0:0 Almanac Moment

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 121 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 326 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 381 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
122 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
209 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
249 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
324 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
363 predictions

Match overview