← Back to matches

China · China League

05 Jul 2026 11:30 UTC

MEIZHOU HAKKA vs CHANGCHUN YATAI

Final 1:3

Changchun Yatai won Last goal: Meizhou Hakka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vinni Triboulet — Meizhou Hakka
  2. ⚽ Yu Wai Lim (own goal) — Changchun Yatai
  3. ⚽ Tan Long — Changchun Yatai

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Salazar — Changchun Yatai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Changchun Yatai
90-minute result: Changchun Yatai
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 315 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
227 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
295 predictions

Match overview