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Morocco · Botola Pro

02 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

UNION TOUARGA SPORT vs ITTIHAD TANGER

Final 1:0

Union Touarga Sport won Last goal: Union Touarga Sport

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Soulaiman Ait Dani (straight red) — Ittihad Tanger

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Tebily — Union Touarga Sport

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Union Touarga Sport
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 35% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 206 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 240 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
89 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
232 predictions

Match overview