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International · EURO U-19 · EURO U19 - Grp. B

29 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

ITALY U19 vs SERBIA U19

Final 2:0

Italy U19 won Last goal: Italy U19

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mattia Liberali (penalty) — Italy U19

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jamal Iddrissou — Italy U19

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Italy U19
90-minute result: Italy U19
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
32%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
32%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
32%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 12% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 17 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 15 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 53% (Average)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
11 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
11 predictions
Total 1.5 14% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 2.5 22% (Weak)
9 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
10 predictions
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
13 predictions

Match overview