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Morocco · Botola Pro

28 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

MAS FES vs UNION YACOUB EL-MANSOUR

Final 2:1

MAS Fes won Last goal: Union Yacoub El-Mansour

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adil Rhaili — MAS Fes
  2. ⚽ Anas Tahiri — MAS Fes

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mehdi Balouk (penalty) — Union Yacoub El-Mansour

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Union Yacoub El-Mansour
90-minute result: MAS Fes
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 198 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 232 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
164 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
225 predictions

Match overview