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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

26 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

SOLLENTUNA FK vs AFC ESKILSTUNA

Final 1:4

AFC Eskilstuna won Last goal: AFC Eskilstuna

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Erik Lundell — Sollentuna FK
  2. Albin Flodkvist — AFC Eskilstuna
  3. Sixten Skoeldqvist — AFC Eskilstuna

2nd half

  1. Ibrahima Cherif Fofana — AFC Eskilstuna
  2. Emanuel Chabo — AFC Eskilstuna

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 519 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 658 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
491 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
402 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
525 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
372 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
220 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
551 predictions

Match overview