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China · Super League

26 Jun 2026 11:35 UTC

QINGDAO HAINIU vs YUNNAN YUKUN

Final 4:2

Qingdao Hainiu won Last goal: Qingdao Hainiu

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Song Wenjie — Qingdao Hainiu
  2. Oscar Taty Maritu — Yunnan Yukun
  3. Lin Chuangyi — Qingdao Hainiu
  4. Cléber — Yunnan Yukun
  5. Malcom Edjouma — Qingdao Hainiu
  6. Ahmed El Messaoudi — Qingdao Hainiu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 227 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 58% (Good)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
168 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 4.5 21% (Weak)
34 predictions

Match overview