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Morocco · Botola Pro

25 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

UNION TOUARGA SPORT vs DIFAA EL JADIDA

Final 1:2

Difaa El Jadida won Last goal: Difaa El Jadida

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Youness Dahmani — Union Touarga Sport
  2. Abderrazak Ennakouss (penalty) — Difaa El Jadida
  3. Abderrazak Ennakouss — Difaa El Jadida

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 224 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
142 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
217 predictions

Match overview