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Norway · 1. Division

21 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

RAUFOSS vs SOGNDAL

Final 3:1

Raufoss won Last goal: Raufoss

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Torjus Engebakken — Raufoss
  2. ⚽ Erik Froeysa — Raufoss
  3. ⚽ Sebastian Pedersen — Sogndal

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adrian Rogulj — Raufoss

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Raufoss
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 261 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
42 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview