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China · Cup · China Cup

20 Jun 2026 11:30 UTC

GUANGXI HENGCHEN vs SHANDONG TAISHAN

Final 0:5

Shandong Taishan won Last goal: Shandong Taishan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Chen Pu — Shandong Taishan
  2. ⚽ Zeca — Shandong Taishan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zeca — Shandong Taishan
  2. ⚽ Zeca — Shandong Taishan
  3. ⚽ Raphael Merkies — Shandong Taishan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Guangxi Hengchen
90-minute result: Shandong Taishan
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 59 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 39 completed matches.

1X2 18% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)
11 predictions
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
34 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
17 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
31 predictions

Match overview