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Georgia · Evronuli Liga · Erovnuli Liga

18 Jun 2026 13:30 UTC

FC MESHAKHTE TKIBULI vs FC GAGRA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FC Meshakhte Tkibuli

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pedro Borges — FC Gagra
  2. ⚽ Tarik Sikalo — FC Meshakhte Tkibuli
  3. 🟥 Gela Sadghobelashvili (straight red) — FC Gagra

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FC Gagra
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
120 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
162 predictions

Match overview