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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

13 Jun 2026 23:00 UTC

GIMNASIA JUJUY vs SAN MARTIN SAN JUAN

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Gimnasia Jujuy

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Nazareno Fúnez — San Martin San Juan
⚽ Octavio Bianchi — Gimnasia Jujuy
⚽ Octavio Bianchi — Gimnasia Jujuy
🟥 Mauro Osores (straight red) — San Martin San Juan

Model prediction

45%

1X2

Gimnasia Jujuy

62%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

48%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

26%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

83%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

92%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 35% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 599 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 520 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 49% (Average)

Total 2.5 58% (Good)

Total 3.5 83% (Strong)

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 64% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)

357 predictions

Both teams to score 65% (Good)

339 predictions

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

292 predictions

Total 2.5 25% (Weak)

138 predictions

Total 3.5 90% (Strong)

468 predictions

Total 4.5 97% (Strong)

503 predictions

Match preview

For Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional. Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin San Juan on Saturday, June 13, 2026 is a clear football prediction focus.

The model weighs probabilities against recent odds. The published prediction points to Gimnasia Jujuy. Key markets carry the supporting probability.

The score prediction here is 3-0. It anchors the story even if the result differs.

Under 2.5 goals is the lean. Fewer goals may come from set pieces more than open play. Draws show up often in similar samples.

Keep a draw on your shortlist. The strongest signal sits on both teams to score and over/under 1.5 goals.

The model separates most there. Margins are tight.

Pair the headline prediction with odds and match-day facts. In Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional (about 520 settled picks in the league set). Over/under 4.5 goals was the most reliable market in our window at about 93.7%.

Across both teams, our sample (45 predictions) hits about 46.7% on the result market. In this league sample, hit rates stay useful background.

They do not overfit one match. Totals and both-teams-to-score lines often move the odds.

They also drive post-match reviews. If you shop lines, let the statistics narrow the question. Then pick a price you accept.