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Ireland · Premier Division

12 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

ST. PATRICK'S ATHLETIC vs DROGHEDA UNITED

Final 2:0

St. Patrick's Athletic won Last goal: St. Patrick's Athletic

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kian Leavy — St. Patrick's Athletic

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zack Elbouzedi — St. Patrick's Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
St. Patrick's Athletic
90-minute result: St. Patrick's Athletic
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 151 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
135 predictions

Match overview