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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Soedra

12 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

LUNDS BK vs AFC MALMOE

Final 1:4

AFC Malmoe won Last goal: AFC Malmoe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ahmed Awad — AFC Malmoe
  2. ⚽ Anton Reuterskioeld — AFC Malmoe
  3. ⚽ Ahmed Awad — AFC Malmoe

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Amil Mehmedagic — Lunds BK
  2. ⚽ Vicente Castro — AFC Malmoe

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
AFC Malmoe
Result: AFC Malmoe
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
4:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 492 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 410 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 27 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
311 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
275 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
346 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
71 predictions

Match overview

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