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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

12 Jun 2026 15:30 UTC

SALPA vs KUPS AKATEMIA

Final 4:3

SalPa won Last goal: SalPa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Gezim Voca — SalPa
  2. Olli Jakonen — SalPa
  3. Lenni Paasisalo — KuPS Akatemia
  4. Mauro Lulli — SalPa

2nd half

  1. Arsene Baseme — KuPS Akatemia
  2. Daniel Huttunen — KuPS Akatemia
  3. Joonas Meura — SalPa

Model predictions were

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 143 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
55 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
99 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
116 predictions

Match overview