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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Grp. A

11 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

MEXICO vs SOUTH AFRICA

Final 2:0 Almanac Moment

Top match Mexico won Last goal: Mexico

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Julián Quiñones · assist Érik Lira — Mexico

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Yaya Sithole (straight red) — South Africa
  2. Raúl Jiménez · assist Roberto Alvarado — Mexico
  3. 🟥 Themba Zwane (straight red) — South Africa
  4. 🟥 César Montes (straight red) — Mexico

Model predictions were

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
64%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
62%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
82%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)

Match overview