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USA · USL League One

11 Jun 2026 03:00 UTC

AV ALTA vs SARASOTA PARADISE

Final 3:1

AV Alta won Last goal: Sarasota Paradise

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cesar Bahena — AV Alta
  2. ⚽ Cristian Ortiz — AV Alta

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Godwin Antwi — AV Alta
  2. ⚽ Roberto Burlew — Sarasota Paradise

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: AV Alta
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 237 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 196 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
56 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview

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