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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

09 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

ARMENIA vs MOLDOVA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Moldova

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Artur Serobyan — Armenia
  2. ⚽ Victor Bogaciuc — Moldova

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
44%
1X2
Armenia
90-minute result: Draw
Lucky hit
41%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
45%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 377 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 299 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 83% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
228 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
28 predictions

Match overview