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Finland · Ykkonen · Ykkosliiga

05 Jun 2026 15:30 UTC

HAKA vs JAEPS

Model prediction

Weak
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 116 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 30 past matches

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
86 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
101 predictions

Match preview