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International · EURO U-17 · EURO U17 Final Stage

04 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

ITALY U17 vs SPAIN U17

Final 1:1

Italy U17 advanced Last goal: Italy U17

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Federico Croci (penalty) — Italy U17

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mikel Urrestarazu — Spain U17

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Spain U17
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Italy U17
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
44%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
45%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 14 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 12 completed matches.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 67% (Strong)
12 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
8 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
7 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
8 predictions

Match overview