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Denmark · 3. Division · 3. Division Relegation Group

30 May 2026 11:00 UTC

HOLBAEK B&I vs IF LYSENG

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Holbaek B&I won Last goal: Holbaek B&I

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Jesper Broberg — IF Lyseng
⚽ Alexander Knaack — Holbaek B&I
⚽ August Oestergaard — Holbaek B&I

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Holbaek B&I

Result: Holbaek B&I

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

78%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 197 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 167 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 70% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 70% (Strong)

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

Total 3.5 55% (Average)

Total 4.5 75% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

132 predictions

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

92 predictions

Total 1.5 78% (Strong)

135 predictions

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

93 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

111 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

137 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Holbaek B&I vs IF Lyseng. The match ended 2-1 in Denmark · 3. Division · 3. Division Relegation Group. The model leaned toward Holbaek B&I with a weak indicator (50.8%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (78.3%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was confirmed by the match, both teams to score (53.6%) aligned with the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 70.1% of matches across a sample of 167 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 52.8% in a sample of 53 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.