← Back to matches

China · China League

30 May 2026 11:30 UTC

GUANGXI HENGCHEN vs FOSHAN NANSHI

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Foshan Nanshi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Liu Huan — Foshan Nanshi
  2. Rati Ardazashvili — Guangxi Hengchen
  3. Loïc Lapoussin — Guangxi Hengchen

2nd half

  1. Mame Mor Ndiaye — Foshan Nanshi
  2. Loïc Lapoussin — Guangxi Hengchen
  3. Rodney Antwi — Foshan Nanshi

Model predictions were

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 241 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 193 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
154 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview