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South Korea · K3 League

30 May 2026 10:00 UTC

ULSAN CITIZEN vs POCHEON CITIZEN FC

Final 0:1

Pocheon Citizen FC won Last goal: Pocheon Citizen FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jun-Beom Park — Pocheon Citizen FC
  2. 🟥 Min-Gi Kim (straight red) — Ulsan Citizen

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Pocheon Citizen FC
Result: Pocheon Citizen FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 226 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 179 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
14 predictions

Match overview

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