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Cyprus · Cup

29 May 2026 16:00 UTC

APOLLON LIMASSOL vs PAFOS FC

Final 0:2

Pafos FC won Last goal: Pafos FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Jajá — Pafos FC
  2. 🟥 Brandon Thomas (straight red) — Apollon Limassol
  3. Pêpê Rodrigues — Pafos FC
  4. 🟥 João Correia (straight red) — Pafos FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
25%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 28 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 26 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
20 predictions
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
7 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
19 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
8 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
23 predictions

Match overview