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Denmark · 2. Division · 2. Division Promotion Group

29 May 2026 17:00 UTC

NAESTVED vs AB

Final 4:1

Naestved won Last goal: Naestved

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marius Christiansen — Naestved
  2. ⚽ Noah Engell — AB

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Noah Ibsen (own goal) — Naestved
  2. ⚽ Marius Christiansen — Naestved
  3. ⚽ Benjamin Kold — Naestved

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Naestved
90-minute result: Naestved
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
102 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
117 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview