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Spain · Liga F

26 May 2026 17:00 UTC

GRANADA FEMENINO vs MADRID FEMENINO

Final 3:4

Madrid Femenino won Last goal: Madrid Femenino

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sonya Keefe — Granada Femenino
  2. ⚽ Sonya Keefe — Granada Femenino

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juliana Cardozo — Granada Femenino
  2. ⚽ Ana Marcos — Madrid Femenino
  3. ⚽ Ana Marcos (penalty) — Madrid Femenino
  4. ⚽ Ana Marcos — Madrid Femenino
  5. ⚽ Ana Marcos — Madrid Femenino
  6. 🟥 Cristina Postigo (straight red) — Granada Femenino

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Madrid Femenino
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
56 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
161 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match overview