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Finland · Cup

26 May 2026 15:00 UTC

VPS vs HAKA

Final 4:0

VPS won Last goal: VPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Muzinga — VPS

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yassin Daoussi (penalty) — VPS
  2. ⚽ Akon Kuek — VPS
  3. ⚽ Simon Lindholm — VPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Haka
90-minute result: VPS
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 93% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 58 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 30 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 53% (Average)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
20 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 92% (Strong)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
16 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
8 predictions
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
25 predictions

Match overview