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Montenegro · 1. Division · 1. CFL

24 May 2026 18:00 UTC

FK ARSENAL TIVAT vs OFK MLADOST DONJA GORICA

Final 1:4

OFK Mladost Donja Gorica won Last goal: OFK Mladost Donja Gorica

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Dusan Vukovic — OFK Mladost Donja Gorica
  2. 🟥 Mitar Cukovic (straight red) — FK Arsenal Tivat
  3. Dusan Vukovic (penalty) — OFK Mladost Donja Gorica
  4. Nikola Pavlicevic — OFK Mladost Donja Gorica

2nd half

  1. David Sim — FK Arsenal Tivat
  2. Jagos Roganovic — OFK Mladost Donja Gorica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 169 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
85 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
158 predictions

Match overview