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Nigeria · 1. Division

24 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BAYELSA UNITED vs KWARA UNITED

Final 4:0

Bayelsa United won Last goal: Bayelsa United

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Peter Ebimobowei — Bayelsa United
  2. ⚽ Saro Loveday — Bayelsa United
  3. ⚽ Stephen Wisdom — Bayelsa United
  4. ⚽ Eyong Ofem — Bayelsa United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Kwara United
90-minute result: Bayelsa United
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 15% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 343 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 354 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
250 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
199 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
318 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
343 predictions

Match overview