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Albania · Kategoria Superiore · Kategoria Superiore Championship Group

23 May 2026 17:00 UTC

VLLAZNIA vs EGNATIA

Final 1:2

Egnatia won Last goal: Egnatia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Eljon Sota — Egnatia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Klinti Qato — Vllaznia
  2. 🟥 Albano Aleksi (straight red) — Egnatia
  3. ⚽ Daniel Adjessa — Egnatia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Egnatia
90-minute result: Egnatia
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:6

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 177 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
102 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 3.5 12% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
13 predictions

Match overview