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Macedonia · Prva Liga

23 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ARSIMI vs FK STRUGA

Final 1:0

Arsimi won Last goal: Arsimi

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Armin Besagic — Arsimi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Arsimi
90-minute result: Arsimi
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 188 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
143 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
164 predictions

Match overview