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Netherlands · Tweede Divisie

23 May 2026 13:30 UTC

KATWIJK vs JONG SPARTA ROTTERDAM

Final 4:1

Katwijk won Last goal: Katwijk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Milan Zonneveld — Jong Sparta Rotterdam
  2. ⚽ Giovanni Korte — Katwijk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giovanni Korte — Katwijk
  2. ⚽ Mohammed Tahiri — Katwijk
  3. ⚽ Giovanni Korte — Katwijk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Katwijk
90-minute result: Katwijk
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 297 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 49% (Average)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
216 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
195 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
248 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
191 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
236 predictions

Match overview