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Ukraine · Premier League

23 May 2026 10:00 UTC

FC OLEKSANDRIYA vs KRYVBAS

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: FC Oleksandriya

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jhoel Maya — Kryvbas
  2. ⚽ Mauro Rodrigues — FC Oleksandriya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 234 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 230 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
206 predictions

Match overview