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India · Indian Super League

21 May 2026 14:00 UTC

MOHUN BAGAN SG vs SC DELHI

Final 2:1

Mohun Bagan SG won Last goal: Mohun Bagan SG

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Clarence Fernandes — SC Delhi
  2. Manvir Singh — Mohun Bagan SG
  3. Jamie Maclaren — Mohun Bagan SG

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 85 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 85 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 23 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
45 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
77 predictions

Match overview