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USA · US Open Cup

21 May 2026 02:00 UTC

COLORADO RAPIDS vs SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES

Final 2:0

Colorado Rapids won Last goal: Colorado Rapids

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Darren Yapi — Colorado Rapids
  2. ⚽ Rafael Navarro (penalty) — Colorado Rapids

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
San Jose Earthquakes
90-minute result: Colorado Rapids
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
20%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 82 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 71 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
53 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
60 predictions

Match overview