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Romania · Superliga · Superliga Relegation Group

18 May 2026 17:30 UTC

PETROLUL PLOIESTI vs OTELUL GALATI

Final 1:5

Otelul Galati won Last goal: Otelul Galati

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Denis Bordun — Otelul Galati
  2. Pedro Nuno — Otelul Galati
  3. Cristian Ignat — Petrolul Ploiesti
  4. 🟥 Rares Pop (straight red) — Petrolul Ploiesti
  5. Luan Campos — Otelul Galati

2nd half

  1. Dan-Cristian Neicu — Otelul Galati
  2. Patrick — Otelul Galati

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 99 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 309 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 304 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
241 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
281 predictions

Match overview