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Luxembourg · 1. Division · National Division

17 May 2026 14:00 UTC

US MONDORF LES BAINS vs UNION TITUS PETANGE

Final 1:0

US Mondorf les Bains won Last goal: Union Titus Petange

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sofiane Daham — US Mondorf les Bains

2nd half

  1. 🟥 — (straight red) — US Mondorf les Bains

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
US Mondorf les Bains
90-minute result: US Mondorf les Bains
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
171 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
127 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview