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India · I League · Indian Football League Promotion Group

17 May 2026 13:00 UTC

DEMPO SC vs DIAMOND HARBOUR

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Diamond Harbour

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Marcus Joseph — Dempo SC
  2. Hugo Díaz — Diamond Harbour

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 61 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 22 past matches

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
18 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
34 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
46 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
53 predictions

Match overview