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Italy · Serie A Femminile

17 May 2026 16:00 UTC

FIORENTINA vs LAZIO

Final 2:1

Fiorentina won Last goal: Lazio

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Katla Tryggvadóttir — Fiorentina

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sofie Bruun Bredgaard — Fiorentina
  2. ⚽ Nikola Karczewska — Lazio

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Fiorentina
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 128 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
85 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
116 predictions

Match overview