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Africa · CAF Confederations Cup · CAF Confederation Cup Final Stage

16 May 2026 18:00 UTC

ZAMALEK SC vs USM ALGER

Final 1:0

USM Alger advanced Last goal: USM Alger

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Oday Dabbagh (penalty) — Zamalek SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Zamalek SC
90-minute result: Zamalek SC
Advanced: USM Alger
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 82% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 61 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 60 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
42 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
16 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
9 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
6 predictions

Match overview